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Below are
some solved simple applications:
1)
Find the probability of getting a multiple of 2 at a die roll.
Solution:
The number of outcomes that are favorable to respective event is three
(these are: {2}, {4}, {6}). The number of equally possible outcomes is
six, so the probability is 3/6 = 1/2 = 50%.
2)
There are three pairs of socks of different colors in a basket. Two
socks are randomly extracted from the basket. What is the probability of
getting two socks of same color?
Solution:
The number of equally possible cases is the number of all 2-size
combinations of socks, namely,
C(6, 2) = 15. The number of favorable cases is three, because we
have three pairs of socks having the same color. Thus, the probability is
3/15 = 1/5 = 20%.
3)
An urn contains four white balls and six black balls. Two balls are
drawn simultaneously. Find the probability of the events: a)
A drawing two white balls; b)
B drawing two black balls; c)
C drawing two balls of the same color.
4)
Two dice, one red and one blue, are rolled. Consider the events: A
occurrence of a number less than 4 on the red die; B
occurrence of a number less than 3 on the blue die. Find P(A or B).
Solution:
The cases that are favorable to A are {1}, {2} and {3};
therefore, P(A) = 3/6. The cases that are favorable to B are {1}
and {2}; therefore,P(A) = 2/6. The cases that are favorable to
A and B correspond to the ordered pairs (1, 1), (1, 2), (2, 1), (2,
2), (3, 1), (3, 2), and total six, in a probability field where the number
of equally possible cases is 6
x 6 = 36. We then have
P(A and B) = 6/36. The requested probability is

5)
At a blackjack game, calculate the probability for a player to get
a total of twenty points from the first two cards (provided no other cards
are shown), if a 52-card deck is used.
Solution:
The variants totaling twenty points are of the type A + 9 or 10 + 10 (as a
value; that is, any 2-size combination of cards from 10, J, Q,
K). We have sixteen variants A + 9 (4 aces and 4 nines) and C(16,
2) = 120 variants 10 + 10 (all 2-size combinations of cards from the
sixteen cards with a value of 10). The number of all possible distribution
variants for two cards is C(52, 2)=1326. The probability is then P = (16 +
120)/1326 = 68/663.
6)
We have two urns, the first containing three white balls and four
black balls and the second three white balls and five black balls. A ball
is drawn from a randomly chosen urn. Find the probability for the drawn
ball to be white.
Solution:Denote
the events: A the first urn is the chosen one; B the
second urn is the chosen one; C the drawn ball is white. A
and B form a complete system of events and P(A) = P(B) = 1/2.
We
have P(C│A) = 3/7 and P(C│B) = 3/8. According to total
probability formula, we have:
P(C) = P(A)P(C│A) +P(B)P(C│B) = (1/2) x
(3/7) + (1/2) x (3/8) = 45/112 = 0.40178.
7)
Five cards are drawn at once from a 32-card deck. What is the
probability of the five cards containing at least one queen (Q)?
Solution:
Denoting by A the event to be measured the five extracted
cards contain at least one Q, we then calculate the probability of the
contrary event
A
the five extracted cards contain no Q.
The
equally possible elementary events are the occurrences of 5-size combinations of cards
from the 32, a total of C(32, 5). The
combinations that are favorable to event
A have the form (xyztv), with x, y, z, t,
v taking any card as value, except the four Q-cards. They total C(32 - 4, 5) = C(28, 5).
We then have:
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In
the book UNDERSTANDING AND CALCULATING THE ODDS:
Probability Theory Basics and Calculus Guide for Beginners, with
Applications in Games of Chance and Everyday Life, the teaching
material is structured for developing probability calculus skills based on
algorithmic procedures. This
is the subject of the chapter titled Beginners
Calculus Guide, in which the reader is taught to apply the properties
of probability and to perform calculations in practical applications.
The skills acquired here can be practiced on
the more than 200 solved and unsolved problems and exercises in the book,
whose difficulty level grows gradually. You may find it in the Books
section with a free sample.
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